Club Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Feb 2024

Club Brugge
1-2 HT 1-0
Anderlecht
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Club Brugge vs Anderlecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
14%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.04
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
2/2
10%
7.68
2/X
7%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Brugge v Anderlecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.79/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.61
+1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.1 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Club Brugge vs Anderlecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
414 Passes 367
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
15.01.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
16.10.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
22.05.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.05.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
19.12.2021 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL

Club Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-2
AWAY Anderlecht
1.74 xG 1.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
332 Passes 314
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht nicked a narrow win over Club Brugge 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 51% of the ball to Anderlecht's 49%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.74 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Brugge and 0.83 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Club Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 50%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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