Gent 2-2 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.25
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
10%
5.25
X/2
14%
6.33
X/X
16%
4.6
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
16%
4.25
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.33/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.50
-29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.0 Crosses 12.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
07.01.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
28.08.2022 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 1-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
30.01.2022 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
03.10.2021 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
17.01.2021 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
2-2
AWAY Royal Antwerp
2.51 xG 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
315 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gent vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent and Royal Antwerp shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gent had 48% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 52%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.51 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Gent and 1.17 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Gent vs Royal Antwerp?

Gent 2-2 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gent 34%, draw 30%, Royal Antwerp 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Royal Antwerp), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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