AS Eupen 0-2 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.49
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
6%
10.1
X/2
14%
4.06
X/X
7%
5.5
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
35%
2.09
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 60%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.25/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.24
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
16.2 Crosses 21.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.91 xG 2.20
52% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
269 Passes 245
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
25.02.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-2 HT 2-2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
15.10.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 5-1 HT 3-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
16.01.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
17.09.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
09.01.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
0-2
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.31 xG 1.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
191 Passes 257
50% Pass Accuracy 59%
20 Box Touches 37
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge beat AS Eupen 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cercle Brugge as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Eupen had 47% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 53%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.31 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AS Eupen and 2.17 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Cercle Brugge?

AS Eupen 0-2 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 22%, draw 21%, Cercle Brugge 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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