Royal Antwerp 2-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 Feb 2024

Royal Antwerp
2-1 HT 0-0
Club Brugge
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.12
1/2
8%
23.45
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
11%
7.33
X/2
11%
4.59
X/X
13%
5.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.66
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal Antwerp v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 50%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.37/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
14.7 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 315
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
21.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
14.05.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
05.02.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
13.11.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
15.05.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-3 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL

Royal Antwerp 2-1 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
2-1
AWAY Club Brugge
0.78 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
369 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp squeezed past Club Brugge 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Royal Antwerp found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 51% of the ball to Club Brugge's 49%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.78 to 1.41 — on chances, Club Brugge could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.83 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge?

Royal Antwerp 2-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 36%, draw 25%, Club Brugge 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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