Cercle Brugge 4-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
20%
4.05
X/2
7%
9.16
X/X
15%
5.25
2/1
6%
22.6
2/2
9%
6.86
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.94/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.56
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
20.4 Crosses 12.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
4W-0D-2L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.93 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
276 Passes 273
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
15.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
12.11.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
11.12.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
28.08.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
31.01.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge ran out comfortable winners over St. Truidense 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cercle Brugge as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.00 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense?

Cercle Brugge 4-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 50%, draw 29%, St. Truidense 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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