Anderlecht 2-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Jan 2024

Anderlecht
2-2 HT 1-2
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
13%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.98
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
13%
6.79
X/2
13%
4.6
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.88
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.00/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.05
-26% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
12.7 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.09 xG 2.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
392 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.01.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
28.07.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
08.01.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-3 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
28.08.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 2-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
15.05.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
24.04.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 HT 2-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL

Anderlecht 2-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
2-2
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.17 xG 1.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
465 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 39
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht and Union Saint-Gilloise couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 59% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 41%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.17 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Anderlecht and 2.33 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Anderlecht 2-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 34%, draw 27%, Union Saint-Gilloise 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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