St. Truidense 1-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Jan 2024

St. Truidense
1-1 HT 0-1
Genk
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.92
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.3
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
9%
7.77
X/2
21%
4.21
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.52
2/X
8%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.3 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.09/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.44
-29% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
15.8 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

St. Truidense vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Genk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
256 Passes 409
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Genk Genk 3-3 HT 0-3 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
05.03.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
03.09.2022 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
13.03.2022 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
19.09.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
11.04.2021 Genk Genk 4-0 HT 3-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense and Genk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Genk at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Truidense and 1.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Genk?

St. Truidense 1-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 28%, draw 25%, Genk 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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