AS Eupen 1-0 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.83
1/2
7%
20.8
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
7%
10.8
X/2
16%
3.91
X/X
7%
6.06
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.95
2/X
10%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.28/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.10
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.0 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.28 xG 2.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
317 Passes 436
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-1 HT 2-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
18.02.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-0 HT 2-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
14.08.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-1 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
16.12.2021 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-2 HT 2-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
11.09.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-1 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
26.01.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-2 HT 0-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
1-0
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.75 xG 1.78
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 430
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen squeezed past Royal Antwerp 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Antwerp at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Eupen had 38% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 62%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Royal Antwerp.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AS Eupen and 2.33 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Royal Antwerp?

AS Eupen 1-0 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 29%, draw 23%, Royal Antwerp 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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