Genk 3-2 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 29% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.94
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.5
X/1
16%
4.06
X/2
7%
15.15
X/X
15%
7.1
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
7%
11.9
2/X
7%
21.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
2.18/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.80
+9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
477 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
18.2 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.86 xG 0.85
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
483 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
44 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 2-1 Genk Genk BEL
17.12.2023 Genk Genk 4-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.10.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-3 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
08.10.2022 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
27.02.2022 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
3-2
AWAY Kortrijk
2.10 xG 1.38
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
614 Passes 171
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Genk vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk nicked a narrow win over Kortrijk 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genk had 72% of the ball to Kortrijk's 28%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.10 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Genk and 0.67 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Genk vs Kortrijk?

Genk 3-2 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Genk 55%, draw 26%, Kortrijk 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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