Kortrijk 2-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.06
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
29%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.34
1/2
6%
21.3
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
11%
9.86
X/2
14%
3.91
X/X
9%
5.87
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.07
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 61%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.40/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.33
-12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
17.2 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Genk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.83 xG 2.88
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
243 Passes 492
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Genk Genk 4-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.10.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-3 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
08.10.2022 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
27.02.2022 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
07.08.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-2 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
2-1
AWAY Genk
0.89 xG 2.08
25% Ball Possession 75%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
160 Passes 635
71% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk squeezed past Genk 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Genk at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kortrijk had 25% of the ball to Genk's 75%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.89 to 2.08 — on chances, Genk could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kortrijk and 2.17 for Genk.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Genk?

Kortrijk 2-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 28%, draw 23%, Genk 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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