Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dender EH v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals
Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Sporting Charleroi
BEL
2-0
HT 1-0
Dender EH
BEL
2-4
HT 1-1
Sporting Charleroi
BEL
1-0
HT 0-0
Dender EH
BEL
Dender EH 1-0 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics
Dender EH squeezed past Sporting Charleroi 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Dender EH had 30% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 70%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.50 to 1.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting Charleroi.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Dender EH and 2.25 for Sporting Charleroi.
What was the final score of Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi?
Dender EH 1-0 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 35%, draw 22%, Sporting Charleroi 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.