St. Truidense 1-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.63
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.62
X/2
12%
5.63
X/X
14%
4.87
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
3.64
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.37/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.39
+7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.4 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gent
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.67 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
459 Passes 435
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
23.04.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
01.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 4-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
06.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEK
20.08.2023 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
22.01.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense and Gent shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Truidense and 1.83 for Gent.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Gent?

St. Truidense 1-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 38%, draw 30%, Gent 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Truidense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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