Anderlecht 3-0 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.0
X/1
19%
4.0
X/2
14%
8.39
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
8%
6.47
2/X
4%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
2.00/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.58
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.0 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.87 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
432 Passes 279
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
07.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
22.10.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-2 HT 0-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
26.02.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 2-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
23.10.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 5-0 HT 2-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
16.01.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
3-0
AWAY Standard Liege
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht swept aside Standard Liege 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Anderlecht had 47% of the ball to Standard Liege's 53%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Anderlecht and 2.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Standard Liege?

Anderlecht 3-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 47%, draw 25%, Standard Liege 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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