Club Brugge 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 24% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.69
X/2
10%
6.91
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
12%
4.94
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.74/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.53
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.0 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 259
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BSK
13.05.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
21.04.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
07.02.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
26.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.98 xG 0.99
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
545 Passes 201
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge and Union Saint-Gilloise shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 69% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 31%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.98 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Brugge and 1.50 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Club Brugge 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 42%, draw 30%, Union Saint-Gilloise 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ BTTS Yes
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