Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club Brugge v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
2-1
HT 1-0
Club Brugge
BEL
Club Brugge 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise squeezed past Club Brugge 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Club Brugge had 67% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 33%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.78 to 2.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Saint-Gilloise's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Brugge and 1.50 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Club Brugge 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Super Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 44%, draw 27%, Union Saint-Gilloise 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.