Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.57
X/2
13%
7.21
X/X
10%
5.0
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
10%
5.12
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.07/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.59
+23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.6 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.09
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 417
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
07.02.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
26.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
05.11.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
04.06.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
1-2
AWAY Club Brugge
1.13 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 8
300 Passes 348
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge edged past Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Saint-Gilloise at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 48% of the ball to Club Brugge's 52%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.13 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.33 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 45%, draw 27%, Club Brugge 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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