Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0 HT 0-0
Club Brugge
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - Cup – 2023/2024

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
10%
4.92
X/2
10%
6.54
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
14%
4.46
2/X
12%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 10% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.27/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.97
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
19.0 Crosses 7.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
241 Passes 444
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.02.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
26.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
05.11.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
04.06.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
10.02.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
AWAY Club Brugge
1.81 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
297 Passes 269
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise beat Club Brugge 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Union Saint-Gilloise made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 51% of the ball to Club Brugge's 49%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.81 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.50 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 37%, draw 28%, Club Brugge 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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