Kortrijk 2-4 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.09
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.91
X/2
10%
6.42
X/X
13%
4.71
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.49
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.59/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.69
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.3 Crosses 15.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
2W-1D-1L
AWAY RWDM 47
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.45 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 Passes 346
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 3-2 HT 1-1 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
05.12.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEK
04.11.2023 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 1-1 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
10.11.2022 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 1-3 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
2-4
AWAY RWDM 47
1.89 xG 2.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 4
322 Passes 249
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 28
39 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 saw off Kortrijk 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day RWDM 47 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 57% of the ball to RWDM 47's 43%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.89 to 2.87.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kortrijk had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Kortrijk and 1.25 for RWDM 47.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs RWDM 47?

Kortrijk 2-4 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 39%, draw 27%, RWDM 47 34%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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