Club Brugge 2-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 28% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.03
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.97
X/2
8%
6.47
X/X
13%
5.02
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
15%
4.36
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.57/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.36
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +65%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.7 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
386 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
07.02.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
26.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
05.11.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
04.06.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
2-2
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
3.25 xG 1.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
390 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge and Union Saint-Gilloise shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Brugge had 56% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 44%, shots finished 25-18, expected goals 3.25 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club Brugge and 1.33 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Club Brugge 2-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 41%, draw 30%, Union Saint-Gilloise 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5
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