Stade Lavallois 4-0 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Orleans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2022 Orleans Orleans 3-2 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
06.08.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
15.05.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
21.08.2020 Orleans Orleans 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois ran out comfortable winners over Orleans 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stade Lavallois found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orleans led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.25 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Orleans?

Stade Lavallois 4-0 Orleans in the Friendlies on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 39%, draw 27%, Orleans 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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