Hoffenheim 1-0 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.55
2-3 Goals
33%
2.04
4-5 Goals
29%
2.69
6+ Goals
17%
6.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.32
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
11.25
X/1
19%
5.1
X/2
9%
9.4
X/X
9%
5.6
2/1
6%
20.75
2/2
10%
6.17
2/X
5%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.57/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.31
+52% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 1.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 419
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2025 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-3 HT 1-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
29.09.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-4 HT 3-3 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
03.03.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-1 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
07.10.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-3 HT 1-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
02.04.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-2 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
07.10.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-2 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
1-0
AWAY Werder Bremen
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim nicked a narrow win over Werder Bremen 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoffenheim as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 57% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 43%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.83 for Werder Bremen.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen?

Hoffenheim 1-0 Werder Bremen in the Friendlies on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 51%, draw 22%, Werder Bremen 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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