Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals
Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Hoffenheim
AL1
1-2
HT 0-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Werder Bremen
AL1
4-0
HT 2-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
1-1
HT 1-1
Hoffenheim
AL1
Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics
Werder Bremen nicked a narrow win over Hoffenheim 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Werder Bremen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Hoffenheim had 36% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 64%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 1.22 to 3.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Werder Bremen's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.17 for Werder Bremen.
What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen?
Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 36%, draw 23%, Werder Bremen 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.