Holstein Kiel 2-4 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.45
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.6
X/2
12%
4.68
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
23%
2.56
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.7pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 51%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -2%
1.10/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.12
-100% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
7.0 Crosses 18.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
2-4
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.07 xG 2.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
302 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 41
21 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt got the better of Holstein Kiel 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 47% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 53%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.07 to 2.22.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Holstein Kiel 2-4 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 35%, draw 23%, Eintracht Frankfurt 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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