Millonarios 3-1 Real Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 1 Aug 2025

Millonarios
3-1 HT 3-1
Real Cartagena
📅01/08/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

Millonarios vs Real Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millonarios v Real Cartagena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Cartagena EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.24/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.34
-22% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Real Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios saw off Real Cartagena 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Real Cartagena?

Millonarios 3-1 Real Cartagena in the Colombia - Cup on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Real Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 59%, draw 23%, Real Cartagena 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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