Independiente Medellin 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.75/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.82
+12% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 0.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
417 Passes 241
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-1 HT 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
08.04.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
03.09.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
20.03.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
23.10.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
08.05.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 3-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin and Jaguares De Cordoba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Independiente Medellin at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.17 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Independiente Medellin 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Cup on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 63%, draw 20%, Jaguares De Cordoba 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ BTTS No
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