Independiente Medellin 4-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.4pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.33/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.37
-8% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
16.7 Crosses 12.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
408 Passes 234
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
03.09.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
20.03.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
23.10.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
08.05.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 3-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
11.09.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
4-1
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
3.29 xG 0.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
445 Passes 291
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin swept aside Jaguares De Cordoba 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 61% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 39%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 3.29 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Independiente Medellin 4-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 52%, draw 26%, Jaguares De Cordoba 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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