Shanghai Jiading 2-4 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
7%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 34% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.2pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.86/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.57
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
16.9 Crosses 22.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Jiading
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.51 xG 2.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
258 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.03.2026 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
19.04.2025 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 HT 1-1 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Jiading
2-4
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
1.71 xG 0.70
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
310 Passes 208
25 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen saw off Shanghai Jiading 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Guangxi Hengchen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.71 to 0.70 — on chances, Shanghai Jiading could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guangxi Hengchen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shanghai Jiading and 2.00 for Guangxi Hengchen.

What was the final score of Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Shanghai Jiading 2-4 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Jiading 29%, draw 31%, Guangxi Hengchen 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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