Forfar Athletic 1-0 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.25/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.58
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +121%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
23.08.2022 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
23.04.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
19.02.2022 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
13.11.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
14.08.2021 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-2 HT 2-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic squeezed past Kelty Hearts 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kelty Hearts at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.20 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Forfar Athletic 1-0 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 28%, draw 26%, Kelty Hearts 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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