Edinburgh City 0-5 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.56/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.39
+12% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Elgin City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.03.2026 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-3 HT 0-2 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
24.02.2026 Elgin City Elgin City 3-0 HT 3-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
08.11.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-3 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.08.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 2-4 HT 0-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
12.04.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
22.02.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 1-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City ran out comfortable winners over Edinburgh City 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Edinburgh City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Edinburgh City and 2.00 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?

Edinburgh City 0-5 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Edinburgh City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 45%, draw 27%, Elgin City 29%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Edinburgh City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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