Elgin City 1-2 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.46/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
21.12.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
28.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 3-3 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
26.03.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
07.01.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-2 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.11.2021 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
27.08.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City squeezed past Elgin City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Elgin City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elgin City and 1.50 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?

Elgin City 1-2 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 41%, draw 24%, Edinburgh City 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
22 Feb 2025
18:00 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Forfar Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Clyde vs Spartans Analysis →
18:00 East Fife vs Peterhead Analysis →
18:00 Stranraer vs Stirling Albion Analysis →