Edinburgh City 1-0 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
27%
3.26
6+ Goals
7%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
31%
+12.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
44%
-13.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -26%
1.55/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.48
+16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Elgin City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
28.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 3-3 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
26.03.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
07.01.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-2 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.11.2021 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
27.08.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
01.05.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İSK2
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City nicked a narrow win over Elgin City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Edinburgh City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Edinburgh City and 1.33 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?

Edinburgh City 1-0 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Edinburgh City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 43%, draw 27%, Elgin City 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Edinburgh City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Edinburgh City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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