Elgin City 3-3 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

Elgin City
3-3
Edinburgh City
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Elgin City vs Edinburgh City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Edinburgh City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +27%
2.43/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.29
+27% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Elgin City vs Edinburgh City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
The Meetings
26.03.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
07.01.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-2 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.11.2021 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
27.08.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
01.05.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İSK2
20.03.2021 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 1-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City and Edinburgh City couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Elgin City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elgin City and 1.50 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?

Elgin City 3-3 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 51%, draw 23%, Edinburgh City 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elgin City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elgin City) ✓ Over 2.5
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