Spartans 0-1 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.40/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.43
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-1D-1L
AWAY East Fife
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
02.03.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-3 HT 1-1 East Fife East Fife İK2
30.01.2024 East Fife East Fife 0-3 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
23.09.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-2 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
04.07.2017 Spartans Spartans 1-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartans
0-1
AWAY East Fife
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
4 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Fife edged past Spartans 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; East Fife found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartans had 53% of the ball to East Fife's 47%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spartans had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Spartans and 1.25 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Spartans vs East Fife?

Spartans 0-1 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spartans 37%, draw 30%, East Fife 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartans), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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