Spartans 1-3 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
7%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-1D-0L
AWAY East Fife
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
30.01.2024 East Fife East Fife 0-3 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
23.09.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-2 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
04.07.2017 Spartans Spartans 1-0 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife HAZ
POST-MATCH Spartans vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Fife saw off Spartans 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day East Fife made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spartans had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartans and 0.67 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Spartans vs East Fife?

Spartans 1-3 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spartans 39%, draw 29%, East Fife 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5
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