Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0-1 HT 0-0
Stenhousemuir
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.22 — our 28% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.12/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.31
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
23.09.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
08.04.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
25.02.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
19.11.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
01.10.2022 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-4 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir edged past Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.33 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 33%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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