Dumbarton 1-0 Peterhead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
14%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterhead EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.41/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.58
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Peterhead
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
09.01.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 3-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
23.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
16.07.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 0-2 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
09.04.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 1-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
26.02.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 4-3 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
18.12.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-3 HT 2-2 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Peterhead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton squeezed past Peterhead 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (42% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dumbarton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterhead led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dumbarton and 2.00 for Peterhead.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Peterhead?

Dumbarton 1-0 Peterhead in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Peterhead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 42%, draw 22%, Peterhead 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ BTTS No
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