Stranraer 0-2 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.17/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.57
-13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
23.07.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
18.03.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
28.01.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
03.12.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
17.09.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 4-1 HT 4-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
26.03.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stranraer
0-2
AWAY Stirling Albion
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
Pass Accuracy 94%
5 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion saw off Stranraer 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Stirling Albion made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Stranraer had 55% of the ball to Stirling Albion's 45%, shots finished 5-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Albion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stranraer and 1.67 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Stirling Albion?

Stranraer 0-2 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 40%, draw 29%, Stirling Albion 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stranraer) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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