Stirling Albion 2-2 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 26%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.49/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/3.00
+52% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stranraer
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
18.03.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
28.01.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
03.12.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
17.09.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 4-1 HT 4-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
26.03.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
15.01.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 3-3 HT 1-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion and Stranraer shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stirling Albion at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stirling Albion and 1.33 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Stranraer?

Stirling Albion 2-2 Stranraer in the Scotland - League Cup on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 46%, draw 26%, Stranraer 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stirling Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stirling Albion) ✓ Over 2.5
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