Kelty Hearts 0-1 Peterhead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 23 Jul 2024

Kelty Hearts
0-1 HT 0-1
Peterhead
📅23/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
4.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 23% vs market 17.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Peterhead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterhead EU Bookmakers 26%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
2.33/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.93
+21% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Peterhead
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
The Meetings
25.02.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 1-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
03.12.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
17.09.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
10.11.2020 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İKLK
20.10.2018 Peterhead Peterhead 3-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKK
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead nicked a narrow win over Kelty Hearts 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kelty Hearts at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Peterhead led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.40 for Peterhead.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?

Kelty Hearts 0-1 Peterhead in the Scotland - League Cup on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 46%, draw 26%, Peterhead 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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