Alloa Athletic 3-2 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -18%
0.26/3.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.18
-77% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -25%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
211 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
0W-0D-5L
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
22.07.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-4 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
01.03.2003 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
28.12.2002 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
02.11.2002 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-3 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
31.08.2002 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 2-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic edged past St. Johnstone 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was St. Johnstone at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Alloa Athletic and 2.80 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs St. Johnstone?

Alloa Athletic 3-2 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - League Cup on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 22%, draw 24%, St. Johnstone 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Johnstone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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