Spartans 1-0 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.75
Over 2.5
58%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
53%
-10.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
47%
+10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +56%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
30.03.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
03.02.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
09.12.2023 Spartans Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
16.09.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-2 HT 1-2 Spartans Spartans İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans nicked a narrow win over Forfar Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartans as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spartans had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartans and 0.75 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?

Spartans 1-0 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - League Cup on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartans 42%, draw 23%, Forfar Athletic 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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