Forfar Athletic 1-0 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

Forfar Athletic
1-0 HT 1-0
Spartans
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forfar Athletic vs Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.5
6+ Goals
14%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.27
1/2
6%
24.3
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
12%
5.96
X/2
17%
4.59
X/X
10%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
30.5
2/2
21%
3.0
2/X
6%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 6% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.9pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.8pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forfar Athletic v Spartans — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.18/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.97
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forfar Athletic vs Spartans Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Spartans Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
16.09.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-2 HT 1-2 Spartans Spartans İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic edged past Spartans 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spartans at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spartans led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.50 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Spartans?

Forfar Athletic 1-0 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 34%, draw 22%, Spartans 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
3 Feb 2024
18:00 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stranraer Analysis →
18:00 Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton Analysis →
18:00 Clyde vs Peterhead Analysis →
18:00 Elgin City vs East Fife Analysis →