Elgin City 1-0 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.14
2-3 Goals
47%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.42
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
14%
5.29
X/2
11%
5.49
X/X
12%
5.37
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.61
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.85
Value flag · 2/X at 13.85 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.28/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.27
+0% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY East Fife
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
09.12.2023 East Fife East Fife 4-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
26.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
18.07.2023 East Fife East Fife 3-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İKLK
24.03.2023 East Fife East Fife 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
07.01.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 0-2 East Fife East Fife İK2
29.10.2022 East Fife East Fife 2-1 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past East Fife 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Elgin City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, East Fife led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elgin City and 2.33 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs East Fife?

Elgin City 1-0 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 34%, draw 28%, East Fife 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (East Fife), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Fife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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