Stirling Albion 1-1 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.29/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.75
-7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
168 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 3.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stranraer
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
94% Pass Accuracy
2 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
23.07.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
18.03.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
28.01.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
03.12.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
17.09.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 4-1 HT 4-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion and Stranraer couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stirling Albion and 1.17 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Stranraer?

Stirling Albion 1-1 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 38%, draw 27%, Stranraer 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stirling Albion), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stirling Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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