Elgin City 2-4 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.34
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
2.7
6+ Goals
9%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.45/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.20
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
12.04.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
22.02.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 1-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
21.12.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
28.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 3-3 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
26.03.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
07.01.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-2 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City beat Elgin City 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 20% / 38% — and on the day Edinburgh City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elgin City and 1.67 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?

Elgin City 2-4 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 42%, draw 20%, Edinburgh City 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elgin City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elgin City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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