Annan Athletic 3-4 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.66/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.40
+21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dumbarton
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 14
9 Corners 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
08.02.2025 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
14.12.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-5 HT 1-2 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
14.09.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
25.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-5 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKK
13.05.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton nicked a narrow win over Annan Athletic 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dumbarton found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.83 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Annan Athletic 3-4 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 39%, draw 26%, Dumbarton 35%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Annan Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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