Annan Athletic 2-1 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

Annan Athletic
2-1 HT 0-0
Dumbarton
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Annan Athletic v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
3.36/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.85
+121% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
277 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 3.0
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dumbarton
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 14
9 Corners 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-5 HT 1-2 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
14.09.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
25.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-5 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKK
13.05.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
09.05.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 6-0 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
08.04.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-1 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic squeezed past Dumbarton 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Annan Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annan Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.33 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Annan Athletic 2-1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 38%, draw 26%, Dumbarton 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annan Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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