Annan Athletic 1-1 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

Annan Athletic
1-1 HT 0-1
Dumbarton
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Annan Athletic v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 39%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.33/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.47
+48% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dumbarton
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 14
9 Corners 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-5 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKK
13.05.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
09.05.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 6-0 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
08.04.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-1 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
11.02.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
29.10.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic and Dumbarton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Annan Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.50 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Annan Athletic 1-1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 42%, draw 26%, Dumbarton 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Annan Athletic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
14 Sep 2024
17:00 Montrose vs Stenhousemuir Analysis →
17:00 Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT Analysis →
17:00 Queen Of The South vs Arbroath Analysis →