Alloa Athletic 2-2 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.49
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.78
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 39% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.58/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.50
-2% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
06.03.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
23.02.2021 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
19.12.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
07.03.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
01.02.2020 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
18.01.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-3 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKK
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic and Inverness CT couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.33 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT?

Alloa Athletic 2-2 Inverness CT in the Scotland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 39%, draw 32%, Inverness CT 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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