Montrose 3-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
14%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
1.55/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.68
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
19.07.2022 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
23.03.2019 Montrose Montrose 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
09.02.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
22.12.2018 Montrose Montrose 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
06.10.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-2 HT 1-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
21.04.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-2 HT 0-2 Montrose Montrose İK2
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose cruised past Stenhousemuir 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Montrose as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montrose and 1.17 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Stenhousemuir?

Montrose 3-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Montrose 45%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montrose) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montrose) ✗ BTTS Yes
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